Indeed OWJ. It's the problem of viewing the whole thing in the rear view mirror too. The flip side of course is that, given the result happened, it's likelihood is closer to 1 than zero & whether or not you'd get the same result twice is irrelevant to the fact that it happened once. It's a difficult thing for most people to get their heads around though as they've usually stopped listening by the time probability is extensively covered in yr 10!
__________________
If we are puzzled by why the world is one way rather than some other way that it might have been, our puzzlement cannot be removed by supposing that the world is the way it is because God chose to make it that way. - Prof Graham Oppy
|
28th August 2012, 09:48 AM
Linear Mode
