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View Full Version : The Godless Numbers Game - Dick Gross


Lee
31st January 2011, 07:27 AM
Godless Gross The Age
January 31, 2011 - 7:17AM

The census is coming up and Australian atheists are making a move. But does it matter a jot what we say on the census? Do the numbers matter? The numbers are only a part of the godly versus godless fracas.
The Atheist Foundation of Australia (AFA) is concerned about under reporting in the census taking place later this year (9 August 2011). There is a feeling, I think a justified one, that people don't say they are godless when they probably are. In fact, I am a great example. When asked, I sometimes describe myself as an atheist and sometimes as a secular Jew. If I am so confused about my identity what about others? You can imagine that it is impossible for a person to construct a questionnaire to cover a wishy washy ditherer like me (although it could be argued that I am not a ditherer, merely deep, troubled and profound - but I digress). So sometimes, I mark the 'No religion' box and sometimes I tick the Jewish one depending on whether I feel the survey is interested in belief or ethnicity.

A "mark the box" questionnaire might test the wrong thing. It could test a person's faith or what they guiltily think they ought to be. Who knows? And what might happen if the bar was raised to make the definition of faith to only include those who had a certain minimum number of times in church, synagogue or mosque or a minimum number of religious epiphanies. That would really cut the numbers. But such a demanding test might also be misleading for in our time poor world, negligence of our community obligations is the norm. The lack of participation is a measure of secularisation of society. In other words, the power of God might have declined and this is a different question to the number of devotees. The number of adherents might not change much but the content of their beliefs might change radically. That is why a superficial numbers game is just that – superficial.

We godless invest a great deal of significance in the numbers. This is the fate of minorities. A minority will always have a covert eye on the stats pretending not to notice but burst into overt joy if the trend lines favour us. So it is with atheists. The recent census numbers look like this.

Percentage of "No religion" answers to the question on religious affiliation"
1996: 16.6 per cent
2001: 15.5 per cent
2006: 18.7 per cent

So there was a wobble down in 2001 (when we atheists kept mum about the figures) but an increase in the decade. In that decade the absolute number of Australians residents rose by 11.8% (to almost 20 million souls) but the number answering "No Religion" over achieved for it increased by 25.7 per cent. Yea for us! But before I pop any champagne, I would note that in the same period the absolute numbers of Buddhists, Hindus and Muslims increased by 109.6 per cent, 120.2 per cent and 69.4 per cent respectively! C'est la guerre.

A question on religious affiliation has been asked in every census taken in Australia. Since 1933, it has been explicitly stated that answering was voluntary. In 1971 the instruction 'if no religion, write none' was introduced. In 1971 the number of unbelievers was at 6.7 per cent, a huge jump from 5 years earlier when the number was 0.8 per cent. This is an important jump. Why did the number jump in the Vietnam era by 830 per cent? This leap is interesting to ponder from both statistical and political points of view. I have no idea why there was such a leap but I would bet it had something to do with the way the 1971 census changed the way the religious affiliation question was posed.

AFA is going after the under-reported. David Nicholls, president of the Atheist Foundation claims, "Unfortunately, because of the wording, many people will select the religion of their baptism or initiation at youth, despite not being a religious person at all."

The AFA will be unveiling billboards across the nation in major cities stating "Census 2011: Not religious now? Mark 'No religion' and take religion out of politics."

This campaign has gone global. Organisations across the globe are campaigning at census time. Most outstanding is the British Humanist Association's campaign titled "If you're not religious, for God's sake say so!"
There is also going to be a vigorous debate as to the nature of the answers of the young. In my household, one adult fills in the census for the whole tribe. Who knows what answer gets put to what question. My poor children will get no choice – they will be damned as godless apostates without an option. And I don't even fill in the form! In fact, I cannot recall ever filling in such a form. That is one of the joys of living with an empirical economist. She leaps upon every survey with a joy that defies belief (no pun intended).

Mr Nicholls concludes, "The figures for Christian respondents in the New Zealand Census this year are expected to fall below the 50 per cent mark ...but it should be us," he said.

The numbers probably count (groan). The numbers of the godless must be important for issues like tax deductibility of religions, educational stoushes and legislation on moral issues like abortion and stem cells. But on this sort of issue, it is more complex than numbers. A number of signed up Catholics have voted for abortion legislation. I am guessing here but I reckon they are of the faith but the faith in God's will has less power. That is difficult to measure so we cannot expect the census to answer that question. So I feel in my godless waters that the numbers don't count for that much. What counts is the power of God and faiths to move people and change their behaviour. And that is palpably in decline.

So what do you think?

• Is atheism under reported?
• Do kids get ripped off on census night by having their faith chosen by their parents?
• Which kids get ripped off most – those of atheists or theists?
• Are the numbers relevant given that it is the power of God or gods that is most important? If God's will cannot change behaviour any more is that issue more important than the raw numbers? Or does God still move and mould us?
• Do the numbers count?
• Should atheists even ask for accuracy in the census?
• Should we be evangelical? Does it matter if we are a minority or majority as long as we are left alone?

Over to you guys.
http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/blogs/godless-gross/the-godless-numbers-game/20110128-1a7n6.html

David Nicholls
31st January 2011, 07:41 AM
It was good of Dick Gross to run the article about the AFA Census Campaign. This is an extraordinarily good chance to get it off to a flying start. No doubt, our religious opponents will find something dastardly about the evil Atheists having some kind of conspiracy to take over the world etc.

Here is your chance to even things up by contributing to Dick’s blog if you feel so inclined. Keep and eye on it as the day(s) progress.

Thanks

David

Praxis
31st January 2011, 07:53 AM
Great stuff. Particularly in light of Troy Geri's claim on Saturday night at the debate that christians represented 64% of the population in the last Australian census.

I rather suspect he took his information straight from Wikipedia:

In the 21st century, religion in Australia remains dominated demographically by Christianity (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christianity), with 64% of the population claiming at least nominal adherence to the Christian faith as of 2007, although less than a quarter of those attend church weekly

I hardly think 'nominal adherence' is statistically viable, and of course as already discussed, the issue of children having no say in what is put on the form for them.

Personally, I think the religious question should not be included for childreun under, say 13 and should only apply to those old enough to think for themselves about what their beliefs might be. Otherwise, we might as well include children in the political question. Parents can mark them down as little Liberals or little Greens. Makes about as much sense.

davo
31st January 2011, 09:21 AM
The URL Gross linked to in the comments has a redirect on it now to the correct website, as that was just the draft.

http://www.censusnoreligion.org

davo
31st January 2011, 09:29 AM
To those people stating Jedi and other such made up religions please get them to read the ABS announcement :

http://www.abs.gov.au/websitedbs/D3110124.NSF/0/86429d11c45d4e73ca256a400006af80?OpenDocument

"The Australian Standard Classification Of Religious Groups (ABS Cat. No. 1266.0) lists all religions which the ABS has identified and is used for coding census responses. The criteria used for recognising something as a religion are discussed in that publication and go beyond the number of responses a particular answer receives in the census.

The classification is is periodically updated when new information comes to light. Answers such as Jedi and others which have not to this point in time been identified as a religion in the classification will be coded to the one category "not defined",which is the label to be used in standard census output reports. "

TimB
1st February 2011, 02:41 PM
The woo brigade seems to be out in force an focusing on definitions of atheism like if you argue the definition you can discredit atheism.

Check out this post.....I'm still deciding whether I should laugh, cry or just do a face palm and get back to work.


Just FYI, (although I know you will 'pooh pooh' it) babies are born with an intuition to believe in God (although at that time they are incapable of formulating any ideas). Babies are very closely connected to heaven. (Where else do you think all that beautiful innocence comes from?)
As they grow up they gradually recede from that 'golden age' as they become more cognisant of the outer world and start wanting to take control of it. The general rule is that they become more and more cussed (closed off) towards the inner world (of beauty and innocence until they reach adult cussedness/atheism).
Then follows the awakening process, (and return - to God) provided the (inner) mind is not totally closed off by a love of selfishness.

RalphH | Sydney - February 01, 2011, 3:37PM

Onlyatheory?
1st February 2011, 11:21 PM
The woo brigade seems to be out in force an focusing on definitions of atheism like if you argue the definition you can discredit atheism.

Check out this post.....I'm still deciding whether I should laugh, cry or just do a face palm and get back to work.


Just FYI, (although I know you will 'pooh pooh' it) babies are born with an intuition to believe in God (although at that time they are incapable of formulating any ideas). Babies are very closely connected to heaven. (Where else do you think all that beautiful innocence comes from?)
As they grow up they gradually recede from that 'golden age' as they become more cognisant of the outer world and start wanting to take control of it. The general rule is that they become more and more cussed (closed off) towards the inner world (of beauty and innocence until they reach adult cussedness/atheism).
Then follows the awakening process, (and return - to God) provided the (inner) mind is not totally closed off by a love of selfishness.

RalphH | Sydney - February 01, 2011, 3:37PM




I think I just bruised my forehead. Any fool can show this statement up for what it is. Unfortunately, if a person needs this explained to them, then explaining it to them will not help. It seems to me that this is one of our biggest problems. Only reasonable people can be reasoned with. I am curious what others do when they are subjected to this sort of wibble one-on-one. I have had at least a few minor debates with people that have ended with me spinning on my heals and walking away. Not because I couldn't tear what they were saying apart, but because what they were saying was so ridiculous that I don't thing that anything I wanted to say would have gotten us anywhere.

Centauri
2nd February 2011, 06:13 AM
Just FYI, (although I know you will 'pooh pooh' it) babies are born with an intuition to believe in God (although at that time they are incapable of formulating any ideas). Babies are very closely connected to heaven. (Where else do you think all that beautiful innocence comes from?)
As they grow up they gradually recede from that 'golden age' as they become more cognisant of the outer world and start wanting to take control of it. The general rule is that they become more and more cussed (closed off) towards the inner world (of beauty and innocence until they reach adult cussedness/atheism).
Then follows the awakening process, (and return - to God) provided the (inner) mind is not totally closed off by a love of selfishness.

RalphH | Sydney - February 01, 2011, 3:37PM



Wishful thinking ties in so well with delusion.

TimB
2nd February 2011, 06:45 AM
I think I just bruised my forehead. Any fool can show this statement up for what it is. Unfortunately, if a person needs this explained to them, then explaining it to them will not help. It seems to me that this is one of our biggest problems. Only reasonable people can be reasoned with. I am curious what others do when they are subjected to this sort of wibble one-on-one. I have had at least a few minor debates with people that have ended with me spinning on my heals and walking away. Not because I couldn't tear what they were saying apart, but because what they were saying was so ridiculous that I don't thing that anything I wanted to say would have gotten us anywhere.

I get a bit stumped when confronted with this type of comment. I don't think there is anything you can say except "yeah right that's interesting, can I get a copy of the peer reviewed research paper you got that from??". Or just teach yourself to laugh and walk away.....

TimB
2nd February 2011, 07:28 AM
Oh yeah and if I was catlick I'd be nominating David Nicholls as the patron saint of patience.

Brisbane Atheist
2nd February 2011, 05:18 PM
I get a bit stumped when confronted with this type of comment. I don't think there is anything you can say except "yeah right that's interesting, can I get a copy of the peer reviewed research paper you got that from??". Or just teach yourself to laugh and walk away.....

I'd like to know how he reconciles this in his mind.

"Where else do you think all that beautiful innocence comes from?"

When it clealy states in the bible babies are born into original sin...what the fuck is baptism for if babies are so innocent? He's one screwed up mother that one!!